Esports & Betting Insights
Looking back at the numbers behind the previous Dota2 patch!
The latest ‘big’ Dota 2 patch, Mistwoods, just came out - at a time when it seemed like the Dota community was at a breaking point of anticipation. With it comes a new hero - Hoodwink (an adorable squirrel-fox-ferret looking nutty creature which ...
A Gentle Introduction to Betting Odds
One of the core businesses of Bayes Esports is creating betting odds for our shareholder Sportradar. At least, that's what we usually say to keep things simple. The reality is, we have never created odds in our entire existence! Instead, we deal with ...
May the Best Team Win? A Deep Dive into the League of Legends LEC 2020 Format
The finals of the LEC 2020 happened this past weekend, with G2 being crowned winner for the second year in a row. The top three teams - one more than 2019 - will participate in Worlds this year, while the fourth-placed MAD Lions will be in the ...
Accurate Data in Esports; Defining the Needs
Who needs accurate esports data? The client base for data in esports is strongly varied, and as such, their needs and requirements for data are equally diverse. The first step to delivering accurate data to those that require it is to identify the ...
Is LoL's Baron stronger than Dota's Roshan?
What does it really take to be a winner in DoTA or League of Legends? These graphs from the data science team at Bayes reveal some pretty interesting findings. Who would have guessed that inhibitors/barracks were so key to securing victory? You can ...
Round Outcomes in Counter Strike: Global Offensive
Analysing game data through correlations How important is economy in Counter Strike: Global Offensive? In a previous post we looked at correlations between DotA and LoL objectives and winning the match. This time we look at what it takes to win a ...
How strong is my opponent? Using Bayesian methods for skill assessment
Presentation of Dr. Darina Goldin at PyConDe 2019 If A beat B and B beat C, should A be ranked higher than C? What seems like an easy question quickly gets more complex if we ask ourselves when A played B for the last time, what the scores were and ...
Impact of DotA2 Outlanders patch on predictions
Is net worth still the best win indicator? New buildings, neutral items, free wards: The DotA2 Outlanders Update was released late in November 2019 and introduced significant changes to the game. Game updates and patches are a common feature in ...
Essential Esports betting knowledge: The relativity of game time
Our CEO Martin Dachselt, shares his thoughts. In this post we discuss “the relativity of game time”, a phenomenon that everybody should know, who is wagering money on esports. Don’t worry if you hate physics, the topic it's not related to the famous ...
A Numbers Perspective on the impact of Covid19 on Esports
The Esports Directory Covid-19 has a firm grasp on the world. Precautionary measures have put a stop to nearly all sporting events and many bookmakers and sports enthusiasts turn to esports as they appear unscathed by cancellations and lock ...
What are the Odds? Pricing Comebacks in Counter Strike
What are the odds? Imagine you're a bookmaker, or better yet, a trader. The day is May 15 2020, the game is Counter Strike: Global Offensive. G2 Esports are facing Team Vitality in the lower bracket final of the prestigious ESL One: Road to Rio EU ...
Challenges facing the Industry
a look at the top ten hurdles in esports What does the industry need? The simple answer is easy and complete access to data. But in order to understand why this is the fundamental need for the industry, the current situation has to be examined. The ...